AI Market Analysis | NA | Model ai-market-analysis-v1

Dreamscythe Horde

Daily AI-powered market commentary generated from rolling market windows. Latest snapshot 4400 at 2026-05-21T22:08:30+00:00.

This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.

Median 3-day move

-1.8%

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

+417.3%

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Adaptive / transparent

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

  • Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 4g 89s | confidence Medium 52%
  • SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 4g 26s | confidence Low 44%
  • Sparkling Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 3g 80s | confidence Low 47%
  • Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 58s | confidence Medium 52%
  • Righteous OrbStrong Buy | profit 2g 48s | confidence Low 49%
  • Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 11g 21s | confidence Low 45%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakStrong Buy | profit 13g 64s | confidence Medium 52%
  • Chaotic Skyfire DiamondStrong Buy | profit 14g 10s | confidence Low 47%

High-Value, High-Volume Staples

Items in this lane are valuable and sell fast enough to deserve attention even when they are not currently cheap. This catches dependable markets like Mana Thistle instead of only showing discounts or spikes.

  • Mana Thistleprice 32g 74s | sold/day 1,319.7 | auctions 35 | daily value 43219g 64s
  • Large Prismatic Shardprice 18g 82s | sold/day 2,217.1 | auctions 165 | daily value 41746g 14s
  • Noble Topazprice 53g 45s | sold/day 414.9 | auctions 45 | daily value 22178g 47s
  • Adamantite Oreprice 1g 84s | sold/day 11,653.6 | auctions 150 | daily value 21556g 75s
  • Primal Waterprice 12g 8s | sold/day 1,567.0 | auctions 139 | daily value 18944g 16s
  • Netherbloomprice 6g 99s | sold/day 2,620.8 | auctions 11 | daily value 18344g 28s
  • Primal Fireprice 16g 4s | sold/day 1,080.0 | auctions 146 | daily value 17332g 70s
  • Flask of Relentless Assaultprice 107g 69s | sold/day 156.0 | auctions 37 | daily value 16796g 75s

Current Predictions

These are explicit forward-looking calls. Each one is stored and scored against a later snapshot, then folded into future confidence.

  • Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 40g 51s | Predicted 96g 73s | Buy zone 64g 5s - 75g 35s | Sell zone 92g 86s - 112g 20sExpected ROI +126.8% | Hold 3.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 34/100 | Confidence Medium 72%
  • Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 40g 51s | Predicted 96g 73s | Buy zone 64g 5s - 75g 35s | Sell zone 92g 86s - 112g 20sExpected ROI +126.8% | Hold 3.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 34/100 | Confidence Medium 72%
  • Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 40g 51s | Predicted 96g 73s | Buy zone 64g 5s - 75g 35s | Sell zone 92g 86s - 112g 20sExpected ROI +126.8% | Hold 3.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 34/100 | Confidence Medium 72%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 25s | Predicted 5g 35s | Buy zone 3g 54s - 4g 17s | Sell zone 5g 14s - 6g 21sExpected ROI +19.5% | Hold 4.9 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 25s | Predicted 5g 35s | Buy zone 3g 54s - 4g 17s | Sell zone 5g 14s - 6g 21sExpected ROI +19.5% | Hold 4.9 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 25s | Predicted 5g 35s | Buy zone 3g 54s - 4g 17s | Sell zone 5g 14s - 6g 21sExpected ROI +19.5% | Hold 4.9 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakAvoid | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 17g 85s | Predicted 24g 24s | Buy zone 14g 9s - 16g 58s | Sell zone 23g 27s - 28g 12sExpected ROI +29.0% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 23%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakAvoid | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 17g 85s | Predicted 24g 24s | Buy zone 14g 9s - 16g 58s | Sell zone 23g 27s - 28g 12sExpected ROI +29.0% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 23%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakAvoid | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 17g 85s | Predicted 24g 24s | Buy zone 14g 9s - 16g 58s | Sell zone 23g 27s - 28g 12sExpected ROI +29.0% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 23%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Amber BandBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 62s | Predicted 5g 92s | Buy zone 3g 92s - 4g 61s | Sell zone 5g 68s - 6g 86sExpected ROI +21.7% | Hold 4.0 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

  • Rough Dynamiteprice 2111g 0s | move +47977172.7% | sold/day 63.3
  • Razor Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +955400.0% | sold/day 1,178.8
  • Solid Shotprice 9g 55s | move +212231.1% | sold/day 66.9
  • Dust of Decayprice 60s 69c | move +60590.0% | sold/day 11.6
  • Rough Sharpening Stoneprice 30s 36c | move +4058.9% | sold/day 53.0
  • Gooey Spider Legprice 4s 15c | move +2666.7% | sold/day 135.5
  • Mild Spicesprice 9s 37c | move +2502.8% | sold/day 59.2
  • Simple Pearl Ringprice 4g 88s | move +2274.4% | sold/day 45.1

Shortage Watch

  • Ironbite Shellsupply 0 | sold/day 1,178.8 | change -
  • Crafted Solid Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 676.6 | change -
  • Raw Spotted Yellowtailsupply 0 | sold/day 273.4 | change -
  • Irradiated Crystal Shardsupply 0 | sold/day 216.1 | change -
  • Green Smoke Flaresupply 0 | sold/day 127.5 | change -
  • Mageweave Bandagesupply 0 | sold/day 125.7 | change -
  • Karrog's Spinesupply 0 | sold/day 45.0 | change -
  • Shredder Operating Manual - Page 4supply 0 | sold/day 34.4 | change -

What The AI Learned

  • This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
  • The feedback loop has evaluated 13 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 100%.
  • Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
  • Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
  • High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
  • The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

13 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 100%.

  • Anomaly13 scored | hit rate 100%
  • Junk7 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Crafted items1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Gems1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

  • Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
  • The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
  • The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
  • External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
  • Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
  • Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.